The 10 warmest years in the 134-year record all have occurred since
2000, with the exception of 1998. The year 2015 ranks as the warmest on
record. The global temperature has increased 0'87ºC.
Source: http://climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/global-temperature/
And, what has been happening where I live?
To understand what is happening we can use the CMIP5 Global Climate Change Viewer. It is an interactive map to look at the global annual mean temperature changes. The black line shows observations from 1980-2004, the blue line is the model control simulation and should closely follow the black line and the red line is the future projection for 2050-2074 for the country you have selected.
According with the graphics, Spain observations and 1980-2004 simulations are very closed together for temperature, with the future projections showing a general increase over all 12 months. In Spain we can expect that the temperature will rise up to 4 ºC (2050-2074).
Furthermore, in the picture we can clearly observe that the northern part will have an increased temperature rise than the southern part.
Source: http://climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/global-temperature/
And, what has been happening where I live?
To understand what is happening we can use the CMIP5 Global Climate Change Viewer. It is an interactive map to look at the global annual mean temperature changes. The black line shows observations from 1980-2004, the blue line is the model control simulation and should closely follow the black line and the red line is the future projection for 2050-2074 for the country you have selected.
According with the graphics, Spain observations and 1980-2004 simulations are very closed together for temperature, with the future projections showing a general increase over all 12 months. In Spain we can expect that the temperature will rise up to 4 ºC (2050-2074).
Furthermore, in the picture we can clearly observe that the northern part will have an increased temperature rise than the southern part.
Although predictions and simulations are quite similar, the precipitation observations and 1980-2004 simulations are quiet differentt. Observations from january to april are lower than predictions and simulations and from september to november are higher. It should be stressed that precipitations tend to decrease.
According to the information above we have to considere largest threats in Spain.
In Spain the increase of temperature and reduction of rainfall will create ideal conditions for increasing forest fires. Also the sea level is expected to rise and the land of the coasts will suffer the risk of flooding.
The increase in temperature will allow the proliferation of exotic species like zebra mussel and some native species, like oso pardo, will face with the complete disappearance of the favourable weather conditions for their survival.
The climate change also could have influence in the economy. Wine’s production will be affected by the higher risk of frost, under periods of ripening of the grapes, water shortages and changing patterns of pests and diseases. The fisheries sector is worrying about jellyfish, whose presence seriously damage fishing. Furthermore, the Mediterranean area will have a higher incidence of heat waves and droughts affecting the tourism. And finally, cereal crops will be devastated by drought. As the weather becomes less predictable, agriculture in Spain will become more difficult.
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